Prediction markets see a divided government after midterm elections. Here’s how you should trade, Citi says.

Why it matters

This is a market commentary on election outcome probabilities and trading strategies, reflecting routine political risk analysis rather than a direct market-moving event or policy shift.

Sources

• MarketWatch

  Prediction markets see a divided government after midterm elections. Here’s how you should trade, Citi says.

  The odds on Polymarket of a sweep by the Democratic Party in November have risen to 48%, and Citigroup sees a potential rally in bonds.